Stepwise Attenuation and Threshold Effects of Soil and Water Conservation Sediment-Reduction Benefits in the Middle Yellow River

Published: October 14, 2026
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Abstract

Clarifying the regulatory mechanisms of soil and water conservation (SWC) measures on sediment load represents a fundamental scientific challenge for ecological management in the Middle Reaches of the Yellow River. This study integrates multi-source hydrological, meteorological, and SWC data (1950–2020) from the Helong Section and Sanchuanhe Basin, employing trend analysis, correlation methods, and a novel Sediment Reduction Benefit Index (SREI) to quantify erosion control efficacy. Our analysis demonstrates that large-scale SWC implementation after 1970 established human activities as the dominant driver of drastic reductions in runoff (−77.7%) and sediment load (−94.5%). The decoupling from precipitation variability confirms SWC’s critical role in sediment reduction. Concurrently, SWC benefits exhibit progressive stepwise attenuation, transitioning through three distinct phases: a high-efficiency period (1970–1985; SREI > 790 t/km2), transitional period (1986–1999), and low-efficiency period (post-2000; SREI < 130 t/km2). Mann-Kendall (M-K) tests further revealed threshold behaviors, with abrupt changes occurring in 2008 for integrated watershed management. Vegetation measures (afforestation/grass planting) mirrored this timing, while structural interventions (terraces/check dams) reached critical points 10–15 years earlier (1990 and 2005). Although sediment load dynamics show significant time-scale dependencies that may bias decadal assessments of SWC efficacy, geographic-scale effects remain negligible. Collectively, these findings underscore the urgent need to transition regional SWC strategies from traditional areal expansion toward structural optimization paradigms to counter diminishing marginal benefits.

Published in Abstract Book of ICEER2026 & ICCIVIL2026
Page(s) 2-2
Creative Commons

This is an Open Access abstract, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.

Copyright

Copyright © The Author(s), 2026. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

Yellow River, Soil and Water Conservation, Sediment Reduction, Threshold Effect, Stepwise Attenuation