Advanced Predictive Modeling Techniques for Risk Management in Complex Engineering Projects

Published: June 14, 2024
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Abstract

Managing risk in complex engineering projects requires sophisticated techniques capable of handling high levels of uncertainty and interdependencies among project components. This paper delves into the application of advanced predictive modeling techniques to enhance risk management strategies in large-scale engineering projects. The objective is to leverage machine learning algorithms and stochastic modeling to predict potential risks and devise proactive mitigation strategies. The methodology involves constructing comprehensive datasets encompassing project variables such as timelines, resource allocations, environmental conditions, and historical risk occurrences. Advanced predictive models, including Bayesian networks and Monte Carlo simulations, are employed to simulate various risk scenarios and their impacts on project outcomes. The results indicate that these advanced techniques significantly improve the accuracy of risk predictions and the effectiveness of mitigation strategies, leading to reduced project delays and cost overruns. Case studies from industries such as aerospace and civil engineering illustrate the practical applications and benefits of these methods. The conclusion underscores the necessity of integrating advanced predictive modeling into standard risk management practices in engineering projects to enhance their robustness and reliability.

Published in Abstract Book of the GLOBAL CONFLUENCE OF MANAGEMENT HORIZONS
Page(s) 42-42
Creative Commons

This is an Open Access abstract, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.

Copyright

Copyright © The Author(s), 2024. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

Predictive Modeling, Risk Management, Complex Engineering Projects, Machine Learning, Bayesian Networks, Monte Carlo Simulation, Stochastic Modeling, Project Management